Olaf Stapledon in his book Last and First Men had imagined, 90 years ago, the current US-China conflict and even said who will conquer and how. But the majority of the international relations experts and ordinary citizens might have not heard of it.
This should make us wonder what kind of intuitive logics of scenario building or mental processes were behind such a prescient speculation when there was nothing like data analytics, or even AI –enabled strategic intelligence toolbox available?
Was the basis of such a conjecture simply conventional or even unconventional wisdom given the world condition in 1930? Because in the 1930s, USA and China were not, compared to British, Japanese, and German empires, among the world powers.
Many international relations graduates and scholars who work in think tanks are often trained in university programs and by standard textbooks that are largely silent on this vast, open and rich resource of imagination.
Reading science fiction literature, in addition to watching popular movies, should be a key component of enhancing the futures literacy in all levels of the educational system.
It will help both ordinary people and expert scholars not only embrace novelty, uncertainty, complexity and emergence but also raise the quality of creative decision making and integrative innovative domestic and foreign policy analysis.
The Future of Everything
The Power of Narrative
Openness of Futures and Holistic Consciousness
Possible Futures of Education
Consciousness, Omniscience, and Omnipotence
Aliens, Ecology, and Space
Evolution, Progress, and a Culture of Hope
Love, Sex, Gender, and Marriage
Planetary Wisdom and Cosmic Consciousness